EDITOR'S NOTE
A rough September is now in the rearview mirror, what happens next?
The short answer is: the road ahead is likely rockier. Election risks, uncertainty about further coronavirus stimulus and the reopening of the economy are expected to spark bouts of market volatility into the year-end. Not to mention the sky-high valuations that have been keeping traders on edge. Still, Wall Street investors are largely optimistic about the stock market as the fourth quarter starts, according to a new CNBC quarterly survey, which polled dozens of investors, traders and strategists.
Nearly half (46%) of the survey's respondents said the S&P 500 will rise in the final quarter of 2020. A third of those polled see increased volatility ahead, but only 9% expect the S&P 500 to fall into the end of the year. Meanwhile, more than 60% of respondents said a second Covid-19 wave is their biggest concern for stocks.
"A lot of the weak hands got shaken out during the correction in mid-September," said Alec Young, chief investment officer at Tactical Alpha. "The market may need a while before it can make a new high, but there are more risks of being out of the market than being in. As long as we get a fiscal deal, the market will grind higher."
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Kamis, 01 Oktober 2020
Rockier October? | Investors bullish into year-end | Stimulus hopes waning
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