A NOTE FROM BOB
Double-digit gains for big ETFs this week as the rally broadens out. Everything seems to be going right for the bulls. Headlines around the three major movers of the market in the last few months: 1) The reopening: going well or not?, 2) Monetary/fiscal stimulus: more coming or not?, and 3) Treatment/vaccine: advances or not?, are all favoring the bulls of the past couple weeks. There are some storm clouds on the horizon for two other movers of the market: 4) Trade war with China: Heating up or not? and 5) Valuation: Overvalued or undervalued?, but they have not been able to overcome the good news from the first three points.
As a result, the rally is broadening out. Megacaps are not the big movers of the market like they were earlier.
Instead we have double digit gains this week in ETFs associated with Airlines (JETS). Perennial laggard Regional Banks (KRE)--is finally breaking out to its highest levels since early March--as well as Oil and Gas Equipment (XES).
We also see strong high-single digit gains in Industrials (XLI), which broke out to its highest level since early March led by GE, Lockheed and Caterpillar.
And formerly washed up big box retailers surged. This week Macys, Nordstrom, Gap and Kohl's have all surged. Though they are not individually breaking out, they are helping the Retail ETF(XRT) break out to its highest level since early March — this is an equal weight index and looks awfully like a V-shaped recovery in retail.
Even European ETFs like Financials (EUFN) are rallying.
ETFs associated with megacap tech stocks (Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Alphabet) are generally underperforming.
Those megacap stocks — the FAANG names — have led to some downside moves in ETFs that hold the FAANG names heavily like Nasdaq 100 QQQ, Internet Index Fund (FDN) and Nasdaq Internet ETF (PNQI) Looks like megacaps may be being used as a source of funds for the other side of this rally. For more analysis and actionable insights, catch me live on Mondays at 1 on ETF Edge. KEY STORIES
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Kamis, 28 Mei 2020
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