ECONOMIC SILUET: It’s the Fed versus China and Putin and stocks hang perilously in the balance.

Senin, 03 Oktober 2022

It’s the Fed versus China and Putin and stocks hang perilously in the balance.

"It turns out that the irrational just stayed irrational longer than we thought it would.

When we talk about investing strategies, we often talk about probabilities and that they almost always do work out. The idea that the market can go down endlessly without a respite seems unlikely. We get oversold. Good things do happen. We catch a break with an earnings report or a piece of news from commerce or labor or housing that makes things better. It just seems a little preposterous with heathy banks and a healthy consumer that things can stay this bleak for so long.

But things aren't working out like that right now. There are so many rational things that could happen, but the irrational just stays, well, irrational. And nothing seem to be able to change it."

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